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Everything posted by KOYAANISQATSI

  1. Cheers MJ Here's the rest of it... " He certainly didn't give any indications otherwise. I also assume he understood the inherent inaccuracies of these types of models. There are no exact values for the coefficients in models such as these. There are only ranges of potential values. By moving a bunch of these parameters to one side or the other you can usually get very different results, often (surprise) in line with your initial beliefs. I realized that my work for the EPA wasn't that of a scientist, at least in the popular imagination of what a scientist does. It was more like that of a lawyer. My job, as a modeler, was to build the best case for my client's position. The opposition will build its best case for the counter argument and ultimately the truth should prevail. If opponents don't like what I did with the coefficients, then they should challenge them. And during my decade as an environmental consultant, I was often hired to do just that to someone else's model. But there is no denying that anyone who makes a living building computer models likely does so for the cause of advocacy, not the search for truth. Surely the scientific community wouldn't succumb to these pressures like us money-grabbing consultants. Aren't they laboring for knowledge instead of profit? If you believe that, boy do I have a computer model to sell you. The academic community competes for grants, tenure and recognition; consultants compete for clients. And you should understand that the lines between academia and consultancy are very blurry as many professors moonlight as consultants, authors, talking heads, etc. Let's be clear: I am not saying this is a bad thing. The legal system is adversarial and for the most part functions well. The same is true for science. So here is my advice: Those who are convinced that humans are drastically changing the climate for the worse and those who aren't should accept and welcome a vibrant, robust back-and-forth. Let each side make its best case and trust that the truth will emerge. Those who do believe that humans are driving climate change retort that the science is "settled" and those who don't agree are "deniers" and "flat-earthers." Even the president mocks anyone who disagrees. But I have been doing this for a long time, and the one thing I have learned is how hard it is to convince people with a computer model. The vast majority of your audience will never, ever understand the math behind it. This does not mean people are dumb. They usually have great BS detectors, and when they see one side of a debate trying to shut down the other side, they will most likely assume it has something to hide, has the weaker argument, or both. Eventually I got out of the environmental consulting business. In the 1990s I went into a completely different industry, one that was also data intensive and I thought couldn't be nearly as controversial: health care. But that's another story."
  2. http://m.youtube.com/watch?v=iqL048x4msM&feature=youtu.be
  3. Confessions of a Computer Modeler ~Any model, including those predicting climate doom, can be tweaked to yield a desired result. I should know.~ By Robert J. Caprara http://online.wsj.com/articles/confessions-of-a-computer-modeler-1404861351
  4. The wheels of your world have slowly fallen off... Planets in chaosThe discovery of thousands of star systems wildly different from our own has demolished ideas about how planets form. Astronomers are searching for a whole new theory. http://www.nature.com/news/astronomy-planets-in-chaos-1.15480
  5. New NASA Model Gives Glimpse into the Invisible World of Electric Asteroids: "Space may appear empty -- a soundless vacuum, but it's not an absolute void. It flows with electric activity that is not visible to our eyes. NASA is developing plans to send humans to an asteroid, and wants to know more about the electrical environment explorers will encounter there." http://www.nasa.gov/content/goddard/new-nasa-model-gives-glimpse-into-the-invisible-world-of-electric-asteroids/#.U7XkVZRdWSq Little by little...
  6. Kinda lol "There are no black holes" ---Stephen Hawking--- http://www.nature.com/news/stephen-hawking-there-are-no-black-holes-1.14583
  7. Your opinions are not my problem. I was only posting about ISON going through; Scorrie retorted with a joke about Nasa and I pointed out the fact, that I'd been saying planets and stars all have double layers for some time now and mostly getting poo poo'd by the narrow visioned like yourself. NASA now have undeniable proof of these double layers and yet here you sit, whining about your little thread getting detracted by the absolute truth of our electric sky. Truly pathetic! far be it from me though, to anymore attempt to bring some insight, into the tunnel vision of a backward little hole like this. Do carry on!
  8. Well I guess they'll forever be playing catch up... me wrote 27 September 2012 "Magical magnetics is the favourite get out of jail card; no electric fields needed.No such thing as double layers needed when you got Magnetic reconnection to explain things away (or does it?)" NASA wrote 30 November 2013 Huge electric fields in the radiation belts around Earth may help explain how electrons surrounding the planet can be accelerated to speeds near that of light, researchers have found in a new study. These findings, detailed Dec. 2 in the journal Physical Review Letters, could help shed light on the radiation belts of planets such as Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus and Neptune, as well as the behavior of the sun during flares and of bodies beyond the solar system, such as stellar nurseries, neutron stars and incredibly energetic black holes known as quasars. These belts generally consist of two rings: an inner zone with both high-energy electrons and very energetic positive ions that remains stable in intensity over the course of years to decades; and an outer zone made up mostly of high-energy electrons whose intensity swings over the course of hours to days, primarily depending on the influence from the solar wind, the deluge of radiation streaming from the sun. The gigantic amounts of radiation the Van Allen belts generate can pose serious risks for satellites. To learn more about them, NASA launched twin spacecraft, the Van Allen probes, in the summer of 2012. Now, using the Van Allen probes, scientists have detected structures that pop in and out of existence in the outer belt that could help explain the high-energy electrons seen in that zone. The structures in question are known as "double layers." They are each made up of a pair of parallel layers of particles with opposite electrical charge. These double layers were discovered "sort of by accident as the Van Allen probes passed through this region of space, and only captured a snapshot," The double layers can in combination generate strong electric fields, ones more than 1 million volts strong. The researchers suggest the combinations of double layers seen in the outer belt are powerful enough to drive electrons to relativistic speeds. "The processes we're starting to define certainly could be at work in regimes like the sun, for example, and probably all throughout astrophysics."" Giant Electric Fields May Supercharge Particles In Earth's Radiation Belts - Yahoo News Who knew?
  9. Sup ISON? Corona not hot enough for ya? http://soho.esac.esa.int/hotshots/index.html/ "28/11/13 - Last night I was optimistic that comet ISON would continue its dramatic brightening trend, and soar into the negative magnitudes. This morning it is indeed with a heavy heart that I show you the image opposite, in which we clearly see that ISON has faded rather dramatically in the past few hours. It is still likely around -1 magnitude, but this number is falling fast. The question on everyone's lips is "will it survive perihelion?", and now I'm reluctantly thinking it seems very unlikely to survive at this point. I do think it will reach perihelion, , I will be very surprised to see something of any consequence come out the other side." ____________ "29/11/13 - we're up to our necks in media inquiries and attempting to do real science to figure out the mystery that is comet ISON. After impressing us yesterday, comet ISON faded dramatically overnight, and left us with a comet with no apparent nucleus in the SOHO/LASCO C2 images. As the comet plunged through the solar atmosphere, and failed to put on a show in the SDO images, we understandably concluded that ISON had succumbed to its passage and died a fiery death. Except it didn't. After perihelion, a very faint smudge of dust appeared in the the LASCO C2 images along ISON's orbit. This surprised us a little... Now, in the latest LASCO C3 images, we are seeing something beginning to gradually brighten up again. One could almost be forgiven for thinking that there's a comet in the images! As ISON plunged through the corona, it continued to fall apart and vaporize, and lost its coma and tail completely just like Lovejoy did in 2011. Then, what emerged from the Sun was a small but perhaps somewhat coherent nucleus, that has resumed emitting dust and gas. In essence, the tail is growing back, as Lovejoy's did. We have a whole new set of unknowns, and this ridiculous, crazy, dynamic and unpredictable object continues to amaze, astound and confuse us to no end. It has risen from the solar corona and shines once more." Here's a hint for the NASA boys pulling their hair out...
  10. You seem very sure of yourself there Rivlins but lets consider what you think you know, against what NASA etc seem to to be making the first tentative steps to look into... We got plasma double layers... http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2009/01/090107-warm-plasma-cloak.html We got charged bodies in space...http://news.nationalgeographic.co.uk/news/2010/11/101118-science-space-full-moon-electric-charge/ Now we seem to be getting those magnetic flux tubes described as Birkeland currents, interacting on all sorts of scales...http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11207-013-0399-0 I wonder what sort of things get transported in them?Candy perhaps?Candy... for meeee? http://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/rbsp/news/electric-atmosphere.html Hannes Alfven's work will go a long way in their search for understanding the electric universe. It's not a matter of if, it's a matter of when. They may have to rethink a few prior assumptions on the way. It's not just connecting phrases Rivlins; it's connecting everything... Electrically!
  11. A Black Hole Mystery Wrapped in a Firewall Paradox - NYTimes.com Wut wut? Well at least the newspapers get the date right. As for the rest... http://milesmathis.com/suss.pdf Fixed!
  12. Amazing as it may seem Rivlins; to one as ignorant and uninformed as your good self but yes! we are going round the galaxy. Further to your no doubt disbelief, we are moving through varying areas of plasma, with many complex electromagnetic known, unknown and on occasion ignored, interactions of varying types. Also, as mind blowingly amazing as it must be for you; there is indeed have a heliosphere and incredible as this must seem to you... it has been known about by NASA for some time but they are still learning many things that are baffling them every day. Heliosphere - NASA Science I know! amazing, right? Even Hannes Alfvén turns out to be a real person after all and despite his crazy claims like... "In order to understand the phenomena in a certain plasma region, it is necessary to map not only the magnetic but also the electric field and the electric currents. Space is filled with a network of currents which transfer energy and momentum over large or very large distances. The currents often pinch to filamentary or surface currents. The latter are likely to give space, as also interstellar and intergalactic space, a cellular structure" and... "A study of how a number of the most used textbooks in astrophysics treat important concepts such as double layers, critical velocity, pinch effects, and circuits is made. It is found that students using these textbooks remain essentially ignorant of even the existence of these concepts, despite the fact that some of them have been well known for half a century (e.g, double layers, Langmuir, 1929; pinch effect, Bennet, 1934)" ...They still piled the awards on him for his imaginative science... 1947 Member, Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences.1947 Member, Royal Swedish Academy of Engineering Sciences (resigned 1980).1958 Foreign Member, Academy of Sciences of the USSR (Akademia NAUK).1962 American Academy of Arts and Sciences, Boston.1965 Honorary DSc, University of Newcastle-upon-Tyne.1966 Foreign Member, National Academy of Sciences, Washington DC.1967 Gold Medal of the Royal Astronomical Society.1970 Nobel Prize in Physics.1971 Lomonosov Medal of the USSR Academy of Sciences.1971 Gold Medal of the Franklin Institute.1972 Foreign Member, Indian National Science Academy.1974 Yugoslavian Academy of Science.1977 Honorary DSc, University of Oxford.1980 Foreign Member, Royal Society, London.1985 Honorary PhD, Stockholm University.1987 Bowie Gold Medal, American Geophysical Union.1994 Dirac Medal, University of New South Wales and the Australian Institute of Physics. Pity he didn't know about your awareness of real science Rivlins. I'm sure you would have set him straight on a few things. Oh lol.
  13. Mayhaps be, that there's more things in heaven and Earth than in your vision and besides; stop living in the past AT. As we bob around the galaxy, through varying regions of plasma density, with varying current densities and magnetic fields... what makes you think conditions are going to be the same as 40,000 years ago? We're only now starting to probe the Van Allen belt and have barely scraped the helliopause and the findings have space physicists scratching their collective heads. You can keep playing the old records but sooner or later you're gonna have to learn a new tune.
  14. You're yesterdays news AT! Well... in fact you're the day before yesterdays news. Here's yesterdays news:
  15. PFT! http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QVlDA0Qgc3kp
  16. NASA Baffled Over Why Volcanoes on Jupiter's Moon Io are in the Wrong Place http://oi40.tinypic.com/f21ses.jpg http://www.scienceworldreport.com/articles/6044/20130405/nasa-baffled-over-why-volcanoes-jupiters-moon-io-wrong-place.htm
  17. Koy, these rays are being studied by physicists, NOT climate scientists. I'm sure there is a relevant Realclimate page which "debunks" the solar influence... The Cloud Experiment at CERN Understanding the causes of climate change is one of the most important challenges facing science today. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change attributes more than 90% of the observed warming during the last century to anthropogenic causes, especially the increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide from fossil fuels. However, during the last ten thousand years since the end of the last ice age, and prior to industrialisation, the climate has frequently changed on 100-year time scales by amounts comparable to the current warming. At present there is no established mechanism to explain these natural climate changes, but associations are frequently found with solar variability, which is recorded in archives that measure past variations of cosmic ray intensity. This raises the intriguing question of whether cosmic rays may directly affect the climate. This talk presents an overview of the palaeoclimatic evidence for solar/cosmic ray forcing of the climate, and the initial results from the CLOUD experiment at CERN which is investigating and quantifying the physical mechanisms that may link cosmic rays with aerosols, clouds and climate.
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